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Analysis of institutional authors

Philippidis, GAuthor

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May 7, 2025
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Hybrid Gold

Remaining Loyal to Our Soil: A Prospective Integrated Assessment of Soil Erosion on Global Food Security

Publicated to:Ecological Economics. 219 108103- - 2024-05-01 219(), DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2023.108103

Authors: Sartori, Martina; Ferrari, Emanuele; M'Barek, Robert; Philippidis, George; Boysen-Urban, Kirsten; Borrelli, Pasquale; Montanarella, Luca; Panagos, Panos

Affiliations

Agrifood Inst Aragon IA2, Ctr Agrofood Res & Technol CITA, Aragonese Agcy Res & Dev ARAID, Govt Aragon - Author
European Commiss Joint Res Ctr JRC - Author
Univ Basel, Dept Environm Sci - Author

Abstract

Soil loss by water erosion represents a key threat to land degradation worldwide. This study employs an integrated quantitative modelling approach to estimate its long-term global sustainability impacts. The global biophysical model estimates a mean increase of soil erosion rates of between 30 and 66% over the period 2015-2070 under alternative climate-economic scenarios, assuming different greenhouse gas concentration trajectories. In a subsequent step, projected soil erosion rates are converted into land productivity losses and inputted into an economic global simulation model to identify those regional hotspots where the greatest market tensions are expected to occur. The headline result is that of a global economic contraction of up to 625 billion US$ by the year 2070. Moreover, soil erosion represents an acute challenge to food security in vulnerable regions (Africa and some tropical regions), where for certain crops (particularly oilseeds) the threat of shortages is potentially significant. Under the worst-case scenario, global primary agricultural production losses could amount to 352 million tonnes by 2070. Exploring different long-term socioeconomic-environmental pathways confirms the merits of sustainable management practises in coping with market and environmental stresses arising from soil erosion that limits the global increase of land used for food consumption to 115,000 km2 above the long run baseline. Finally, free (and fair) trade is essential to allow less affected regions to expand (marginally) their production, thereby cushioning the market tensions that are expected to occur in more acutely affected areas of the world.

Keywords

Climate -economic scenariosClimate-changeClimate-economic scenariosComputable general equilibriumImpactsLand footprintsLand productivity lossLand-useModelModellingProspective interdisciplinary/integratedProspective interdisciplinary/integrated modellingScenariosSoil erosion

Quality index

Bibliometric impact. Analysis of the contribution and dissemination channel

The work has been published in the journal Ecological Economics due to its progression and the good impact it has achieved in recent years, according to the agency WoS (JCR), it has become a reference in its field. In the year of publication of the work, 2024 there are still no calculated indicators, but in 2023, it was in position 47/358, thus managing to position itself as a Q1 (Primer Cuartil), in the category Environmental Sciences.

Independientemente del impacto esperado determinado por el canal de difusión, es importante destacar el impacto real observado de la propia aportación.

Según las diferentes agencias de indexación, el número de citas acumuladas por esta publicación hasta la fecha 2025-07-12:

  • WoS: 15
  • Scopus: 17

Impact and social visibility

From the perspective of influence or social adoption, and based on metrics associated with mentions and interactions provided by agencies specializing in calculating the so-called "Alternative or Social Metrics," we can highlight as of 2025-07-12:

  • The use, from an academic perspective evidenced by the Altmetric agency indicator referring to aggregations made by the personal bibliographic manager Mendeley, gives us a total of: 95.
  • The use of this contribution in bookmarks, code forks, additions to favorite lists for recurrent reading, as well as general views, indicates that someone is using the publication as a basis for their current work. This may be a notable indicator of future more formal and academic citations. This claim is supported by the result of the "Capture" indicator, which yields a total of: 172 (PlumX).

With a more dissemination-oriented intent and targeting more general audiences, we can observe other more global scores such as:

  • The Total Score from Altmetric: 131.75.
  • The number of mentions on the social network X (formerly Twitter): 173 (Altmetric).

It is essential to present evidence supporting full alignment with institutional principles and guidelines on Open Science and the Conservation and Dissemination of Intellectual Heritage. A clear example of this is:

  • The work has been submitted to a journal whose editorial policy allows open Open Access publication.
  • Assignment of a Handle/URN as an identifier within the deposit in the Institutional Repository: http://hdl.handle.net/10532/6842

Leadership analysis of institutional authors

This work has been carried out with international collaboration, specifically with researchers from: Belgium; Italy; Switzerland.