{rfName}
Sn
Citaciones

35

Análisis de autorías institucional
Philippidis G - Autor o Coautor
Compartir
Publicaciones > Artículo

Snakes and ladders: World development pathways’ synergies and trade-offs through the lens of the Sustainable Development Goals

Publicado en:Journal Of Cleaner Production. 267 122147- - 2020-09-10 267(), doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.122147

Philippidis G;

Afiliaciones

Centro de Investigación y Tecnología Agroalimentaria de Aragón - Entidad de origen
Consulting Economist - Autor o Coautor
European Commission - Financiador
European Commission Joint Research Centre - Autor o Coautor
Fundación Agencia Aragonesa para la Investigación y el Desarrollo (ARAID) - Autor o Coautor
Wageningen Economic Research - Autor o Coautor
Wageningen University and Research Centre - Autor o Coautor
More +

Resúmen

Resúmen: © 2020 The Authors This paper takes three global visions of world development to 2050 and quantifies their implications for sustainable progress employing the metrics of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The SDG outcomes are structured through the interconnectivities of the three ‘wedding cake’ layers of ‘economy’, ‘society’ and ‘biosphere’, as posited by the Stockholm Resilience Centre. The key policy contribution is to quantify the resulting SDG synergies and trade-offs, whilst also decomposing and calculating the part-worth of the market drivers which contribute to these outcomes. The paper employs a global economic simulation model that combines rational market behaviour with environmental constraints (MAGNET) and is further extended with an SDG metrics module. A ‘non-sustainable’ world reveals trade-offs between economy and biosphere SDGs, with population growth of particular concern to a safe planetary operating space in the world's poorest regions. Sustainable visions could reduce natural resource pressures and emissions and meet energy requirements at potentially limited economic cost. Notwithstanding, these futures do not address income inequalities and potentially increase food security concerns for the most vulnerable members of society. Consequently, developed region led international cooperation and in-kind income transfers to developing countries, constitutes a necessary prerequisite to help remedy the SDG trade-offs exhibited within the more sustainable global pathways.

Palabras clave: bioeconomy; cge modelling; global foresight study; Bioeconomy; Cge modelling; Global foresight study; Sdgs

Indicios de calidad

WoS Scopus by Scimago
Best Categ.Engineering, EnvironmentalIndustrial and Manufacturing Engineering
WoSScopus by ScimagoSPIFecytAgaurDialnetCircCapesMiar
IF9.2971.937--10.900
Rank6/5414/610
QQ1Q1----AA1
DD1D1-
TT1T1
PP90P3
Index ERIC-
Index Emergin-
Index AHCI-