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Part of this work has been done through the SunAgri'3 project, supported by the PIA 2 (Programme d'Investissement d'Avenir), under the ADEME [Grant Agreement No1782C0103]. This study was partly funded by the French ANRT National Research Agency within the framework of a CIFRE contract between Sun'Agri and INRAE. The work was partly funded by the PRIMA 'Irriwell' project and by the Climate KIC 'Friendly Fruit' Project. For this latter, we would particularly like to thank its coordinator, Francois Laurens.

Analysis of institutional authors

Miras-Avalos, Jose MAuthor

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February 9, 2025
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Analyzing the impacts of climate change on ecosystem services provided by apple orchards in Southeast France using a process-based model

Publicated to:Journal Of Environmental Management. 370 122470- - 2024-09-13 370(), DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122470

Authors: Vercambre, Gilles; Miras-Avalos, Jose M; Juillion, Perrine; Moradzadeh, Mostafa; Plenet, Daniel; Valsesia, Pierre; Memah, Mohamed-Mahmoud; Launay, Marie; Lesniak, Vincent; Cheviron, Bruno; Genard, Michel; Lescourret, Francoise

Affiliations

CIRAD, UMR G EAU, F-34000 Montpellier, France - Author
CITA, Dept Sistemas Agr Forestales & Medio Ambiente, Zaragoza 50059, Spain - Author
CSIC Sede Santiago, Mis Biol Galicia MBG, Santiago De Compostela 15705, Spain - Author
INRAE, EFNO, F-45290 Nogent Sur Vernisson, France - Author
INRAE, UMR EMMAH, F-84000 Avignon, France - Author
INRAE, UR PSH, F-84000 Avignon, France - Author
Stn Expt Pugere, F-13370 Mallermort, France - Author
SunAgri, 4 Quai Etroits, F-69000 Lyon, France - Author
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Abstract

We know that fruit production, especially in the Mediterranean, will need to adapt to climate change to ensure the sustainability of fruit tree-based agroecosystems. However, there is a lack of evidence on the long-term effects of this change on sustainability indicators. To fill this gap, we used a fruit tree model, QualiTree, to analyze the impacts ofclimate change on the ecosystem services provided by apple orchards in south-eastern France. To do this, a blooming model was parameterized to simulate blooming date on the basis of climate data, and QualiTree was supplemented with a model of nitrogen processes in the tree and a soil module describing resource input (irrigation, mineral and organic fertilization), transfer in the soil (water and nitrogen) and metabolic transformation-immobilization (mineralization, (de)nitrification). This type of extension makes it possible to simulate a wide array of ecosystem services, including C sequestration, nitrate leaching and nitrous oxide emissions. The model was compared with data from an apple orchard in southeastern France. The predicted daily mean and variability over time of fruit growth, composition and soil water content were consistent with observed data. QualiTree was then used to assess the potential impacts of climate change on the ecosystem services supplied by apple orchards. For this purpose, weather variables from 2020 to 2100 were generated for three contrasted greenhouse gas emission scenarios, and simulations were performed under two irrigation schemes (no restriction and restricted use of water). Model outputs indicated that, on average, marketable apple yields would increase until 2050 and then subsequently decrease. The fruit refractometric index, an indicator of fruit quality, was projected to sharply decrease with the intensity of climate change. Ecosystem services such as C sequestration by the orchard will decrease with climate change severity, mainly due to a higher mineralization of soil humus, whereas N2O 2 O emissions will increase with larger denitrification rates. Soil water availability, fertility, drainage and leaching were predicted to depend more on the irrigation strategy than on climate change severity. The new functions performed in QualiTree broadened its predictive capabilities and allowed for a better understanding of ecosystem service delivery in fruit orchards under varying climate conditions.

Keywords

Cambio climáticoCarbon sequestrationDeficit irrigationDrainageFruit productionFruit-qualityGlobal warmingGrowthLixiviaciónMalusManagemenN leachingN o emission 2N2o emissioNet primaryNitrous-oxide emissionsÓxido nitrosoPeachSecuestro de carbonoServicios de los ecosistemasSimulationSoil organic-carbonTree

Quality index

Bibliometric impact. Analysis of the contribution and dissemination channel

Independientemente del impacto esperado determinado por el canal de difusión, es importante destacar el impacto real observado de la propia aportación.

Según las diferentes agencias de indexación, el número de citas acumuladas por esta publicación hasta la fecha 2025-07-05:

  • WoS: 3
  • Scopus: 1

Impact and social visibility

From the perspective of influence or social adoption, and based on metrics associated with mentions and interactions provided by agencies specializing in calculating the so-called "Alternative or Social Metrics," we can highlight as of 2025-07-05:

  • The use of this contribution in bookmarks, code forks, additions to favorite lists for recurrent reading, as well as general views, indicates that someone is using the publication as a basis for their current work. This may be a notable indicator of future more formal and academic citations. This claim is supported by the result of the "Capture" indicator, which yields a total of: 33 (PlumX).

It is essential to present evidence supporting full alignment with institutional principles and guidelines on Open Science and the Conservation and Dissemination of Intellectual Heritage. A clear example of this is:

Leadership analysis of institutional authors

This work has been carried out with international collaboration, specifically with researchers from: France.